Introduction to
 Risk Management for Amateur Investors

       
 
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Introduction To
Risk Management for

Amateur Investors
by Vernon K. Jacobs and N. Richard Fox

 
Risk Management for Amateur Investors explains   

how to protect your portfolio from market cycles, business cycles, government interference, unscrupulous brokers, incompetant advisors, income and estate taxes and the litigation epidemic.


The amateur investor has taken a beating in the past two years.

*    First, the dot.com bubble burst in the spring of 2000 and the market value of most technology stocks dropped like a rock.
*    Then, in September 2001, the stock market was devastated by the attack on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon.
*    Finally, in late 2001 and throughout 2002, the national news was full of stories of executive fraud in many of the largest U.S. corporations.

Some of the more depressing stories arising from the bankruptcy of World Com and Enron were the stories of employees who had invested all of their retirement savings in the stock of their employer. Now they not only are without a job, but they have also lost their savings.

Experienced professional investors were less likely to have such an extreme risk exposure. They utilize a variety of risk control methods such as trailing stop losses, put options and some complex hedging techniques. The professional investor might have lost 10% or even 15% from the highs of the various stocks they were holding, but most of them would have sold after the market values passed a pre-determined trigger point for selling. Although the market averages might have plummeted by as much as 40% during the past two years, the best investment managers cashed out with losses of 10% to 20% from the market highs. The really good professionals (or the lucky ones) would have cashed out before the markets peaked. Amateur investors who have been invested with these managers have not suffered as much as those who preferred to buy individual stocks because of the belief those stocks were “hot” and would gain in value faster than the more stodgy mutual funds.

This book is NOT intended for the professional investor or the individual who has the time and temperament to monitor the markets on an hourly or even a daily basis. This report does not discuss complex hedging techniques or even basic portfolio risk management methods such as stop loss orders, short selling or put options. Nor do we discuss the even more complex tax aspects of such investment techniques.

We hope this book will help some amateur investors to have a better understanding of the many and varied kinds of risk that expose them to potential investment losses and how they can develop an investment portfolio that will protect their savings without requiring a huge amount of their valuable time and attention. In addition, we believe our approach to tax deferred investing will provide higher after tax real rates of return to compensate for the lower risk profile that is part of our risk management system for amateur investors.

This book describes a system that requires investors to make a commitment about (1) whether to pursue “opportunities” by looking for hot tips from brokers, friends, colleagues or even from investment magazines – or (2) whether to focus on a system of risk management to minimize losses from a wide range of risks.

The first step in using the approach described in this book is to focus on building a framework within which to place various investments. That framework will involve the allocation of your various assets into as many as seven different categories. The framework will serve to combine the various categories of investments that are owned by different legal entities or persons.  (e.g. assets in a trust, IRA accounts, family corporation or limited partnership, etc. )

The second step is to make a decision about the degree of risk exposure you wish to accept in exchange for higher returns. That decision will determine how much of your total asset base is allocated to different investment categories.

A third step is to decide how you wish to minimize taxes on different kinds of assets by using tax favored investments or investment entities.

The fourth step is to decide how you want to minimize the risk of loss from predatory litigation. There is a variety of structures that offer different degrees of legal protection from lawsuits. These legal entities also involve different kinds of tax exposure or tax protection.

At this point you have merely identified how your existing assets are currently diversified and how much tax avoidance is available to you. In a sense, this is the starting point from which you proceed to modify your asset base to obtain the degree of risk protection and tax savings that you have elected to utilize.

The fifth step then is to begin a process of locating and evaluating various investments to fill in the blank areas in your diversification plan or to generate the kind of tax benefits you have elected to pursue. At this point, you actively look for specific types of investments with specific tax attributes. Then you need to investigate and evaluate each potential investment to determine if it meets your criteria for the potential yield, risk level, tax benefits and tax risks.

The final step is simply to monitor and modify the framework and the securities within it to adjust to changing times. Although we don’t advocate a market timing approach to investing, there are times when the market indexes are way above or below the long term averages. When there is a raging bull market, the cautious investor will take some profits out of the hot market and put those assets into a market that is clearly below its normal averages.


 

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